Seer
  • ๐Ÿง™Introduction to Seer
  • Prediction Market Basics
    • ๐Ÿช„Creating Tokens
    • ๐Ÿ”„Trading Tokens
    • ๐Ÿ”ฅRedeeming Tokens
    • โž•Scalar Markets
  • ๐Ÿ˜ตWhy did previous prediction markets fail?
    • โ—พA method other than a prediction market produces the best predictions
    • โ‰๏ธAn article shows a method over performing prediction market
    • ๐Ÿ”ŽIt's not ethical
    • ๐ŸฆRegulatory Attacks
    • ๐Ÿ’งLack of Liquidity
  • ๐ŸชกSeer Solution
    • ๐Ÿ”˜Seer DAO
    • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎRetroactive Public Good Funding
    • ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆPrediction Market Actors
    • ๐ŸฅšThe Chicken and the egg problem
    • ๐Ÿ’ฐToken Incentives
    • โ„น๏ธInformation Seekers
    • ๐Ÿ“ˆExchange Integration
    • ๐Ÿ’ฆLiquidity Management
    • ๐Ÿ”’Safe Liquidity Provision
    • โžก๏ธPractical Implementation = AMM + Auctions
    • ๐Ÿ’กReasoning
    • โš•๏ธCapital Efficency
  • โš™๏ธApplications
    • ๐Ÿ•ด๏ธPolitical Predictions
    • ๐ŸฒFood and Drugs Market
    • ๐ŸŒMacro Studies
    • โบ๏ธMicro Recommendation
    • ๐Ÿ’ขFutarchy
    • ๐Ÿค–AI Markets
  • ๐ŸคConclusion
  • ๐Ÿ“„Reference
  • App
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  1. Applications

Micro Recommendation

We could also have markets on individual cases. A patient could get the opinion of multiple professionals on the treatment to follow and then make a market on his own survival and quality of life depending on the treatment taken and then use this as an insight for his choice of treatment. Note that there are two elements which would need to be cared for:

  • Anonymization of the patient:

    • One solution is to anonymize the patient data, but it still leaks some information.

    • The other is never to publish the patient data, in this case, only the medical professionals would be able to use those markets.

  • Avoiding bad incentives: Obviously, betting on someone's survival could also be betting on his death (like an assassination market). In order to prevent those bad incentives, the market should revert (this can be done through โ€œundeterminedโ€ outcome tokens) if the patient suffers death or serious injuries as a result of criminal actions.

We initially envision this to be used for life threatening and lifelong conditions (due to the cost of subsidising liquidity) but when markets become more efficients, this could also be used for milder conditions (such as dental treatments).

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Last updated 1 year ago

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